Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2586.101026 2804.200463 3025.849188 3267.653201 3523.701079 3786.444633 4076.122137
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2194.775136 2513.632947 2850.625342 3232.116918 3650.764783 4094.998650 4600.796952
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1982.552720 2364.155986 2779.158768 3261.543406 3804.304733 4393.635783 5079.362320
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1802.928458 2226.323436 2698.184032 3259.000226 3903.215805 4615.973091 5459.955493
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1693.155448 2154.866146 2680.348299 3316.764321 4060.575778 4896.382522 5900.307002
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1556.134161 2039.674197 2601.301971 3293.844380 4116.586398 5054.580632 6196.249510
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1487.159168 1999.500269 2605.049385 3363.233731 4276.394232 5330.092492 6626.655095
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1401.472490 1932.475997 2570.967487 3382.389249 4372.706034 5528.707212 6965.991402
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1317.130014 1861.502564 2527.079162 3385.101056 4445.579708 5697.048177 7268.240711
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1193.803958 1733.816257 2406.267614 3286.725063 4389.807552 5706.796216 7377.398650
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1173.273697 1737.771031 2449.990598 3392.848304 4585.442739 6020.925351 7854.928224
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1138.717479 1720.801866 2465.080695 3461.405635 4733.759927 6277.716777 8264.382576
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1074.965600 1662.603052 2425.598538 3460.013040 4795.402640 6430.691605 8551.674258
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1001.545623 1587.601500 2360.933403 3423.321012 4810.289800 6524.733767 8766.526815
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 959.581551 1553.895417 2349.131864 3454.043042 4910.327873 6724.745251 9113.502971
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 908.440658 1504.477028 2313.729572 3451.387845 4965.611105 6867.553694 9389.009879
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 883.180138 1490.789483 2325.974000 3511.691054 5102.818720 7114.802580 9797.473570
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 830.849768 1434.910240 2277.508363 3487.764973 5127.501449 7217.288571 10022.370642
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 813.771035 1430.294062 2299.973183 3560.195021 5280.020762 7484.800811 10459.015412
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 780.971134 1400.335607 2285.189485 3580.187154 5361.826716 7660.849868 10779.384623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 744.852319 1363.521046 2259.035017 3583.017303 5419.593309 7805.270251 11059.441638
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 679.780406 1278.492854 2159.968484 3480.332775 5331.249850 7755.883896 11086.591568
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 679.544517 1295.841507 2211.083266 3591.102504 5535.887296 8094.228720 11620.968416